02175nab a2200277 i 4500 BR-BrBNA 20260408050904.0 260408b2019 bl.qr|pooa||| 00| 0 eng | BR-BrBNA eng K10 3290 F40 Carvalho, Monica Canaan Gomide, Lucas Rezende Acerbi Júnior, Fausto Weimar Tng, David Potential and Future Geographical Distribution of Eremanthus erythropappus (DC.) MacLeish: a Tree Threatened by Climate Change Publicação on-line; Bibliography p. 11-13 (52 ref.); 3 tables; 5 illus.; Summary (En) ABSTRACT Eremanthus erythropappus is a commercially-important tree which has a long history of exploitation in the Brazilian State of Minas Gerais. The knowledge on the potential geographical distribution of E. erythropappus is therefore critical for the species sustainability. Thus, the aim of this study was to estimate and map current and future ecological niche for E. erythropappus in Minas Gerais. We used the Random Forests algorithm to model the ecological niche for current and future climates scenarios. Our predictions indicate Espinhaço, Mantiqueira, and Canastra mountain ranges as core areas of distribution and forecast drastic reductions in potential areas under all climate scenarios. Based on our results, we highlight that the continual harvesting of naturally-occurring E. erythropappus populations will not be sufficient to supply the market demand. Silviculture practices would likely serve as an economically viable and ecological sustainable alternative to harvesting natural populations. Keywords: candeia trees, random forests, habitat suitability. CANDEIA FLORESTA HABITAT 2929 347952 Rio de Janeiro-RJ Instituto de Florestas - UFRRJ 1994 2025-0451 Floresta e Ambiente (Brazil) 1415-0980 / ISSN 2179-8087 0nline v. 26(3) p. 1-13; (2019) BR2026000303 https://www.scielo.br/j/floram/a/WcnZB95WxGCRfcGH47jjDZb/?format=pdf&lang=en ANA 341277 341277