Figueiredo, Lívia Thaís Moreira de  Soares, Carlos Pedro Boechat  Castro, Renato Vinícius Oliveira  Leite, Helio Garcia Souza, Agostinho Lopes de  Silva, Gilson Fernandes da  Torres, Carlos Moreira Miquelino Eleto  <br/><br/>
Modeling Mortality of Individual Trees in a Seasonal Semi-Deciduous Forest 

<br/><br/> Publicação on-line; 28 ref.; 4 tables; 5 illus.; Summary (En) 
<br/><br/> <br/><br/>Abstract<br/><br/>The objective of this study was to assess and compare two methodologies to predict the mortality of individual trees<br/>in a seasonal semi-deciduous forest located in the municipality of Viçosa, Minas Gerais, Brazil. The data came from<br/>10 permanent plots and were randomly divided into two groups: fitting (6 plots) and validation (4 plots). When<br/>assessing Methodology 1, the mortality was considered a dichotomous variable in a logistic model, assuming a value<br/>of 1 for a dead tree and 0 for a living tree. In Methodology 2, the mortality probability was estimated by the group<br/>of trees for each plot and for each measurement interval. After the analysis, it was observed that Methodology 2<br/>provided more consistent mortality estimates when compared to the mortality estimated by Methodology 1.<br/><br/>Keywords: probability of mortality, uneven-aged forest, growth models. 
<br/><br/><label>Subjects--Topical Terms: </label><br/>FLORESTA <br/>MÉTODO<br/>MORTALIDADE