000			02175nab a2200277 i 4500
003			BR-BrBNA
005			20260408050904.0
008			260408b2019 bl.qr|pooa||| 00| 0 eng |
040			_aBR-BrBNA _beng
072			_aK10 _b3290
072			_aF40
100			_aCarvalho, Monica Canaan
100			_aGomide, Lucas Rezende
100			_aAcerbi Júnior, Fausto Weimar
100			_aTng, David
245			_aPotential and Future Geographical Distribution of Eremanthus erythropappus (DC.) MacLeish: a Tree Threatened by Climate Change
500			_aPublicação on-line; Bibliography p. 11-13 (52 ref.); 3 tables; 5 illus.; Summary (En)
520			_a ABSTRACT Eremanthus erythropappus is a commercially-important tree which has a long history of exploitation in the Brazilian State of Minas Gerais. The knowledge on the potential geographical distribution of E. erythropappus is therefore critical for the species sustainability. Thus, the aim of this study was to estimate and map current and future ecological niche for E. erythropappus in Minas Gerais. We used the Random Forests algorithm to model the ecological niche for current and future climates scenarios. Our predictions indicate Espinhaço, Mantiqueira, and Canastra mountain ranges as core areas of distribution and forecast drastic reductions in potential areas under all climate scenarios. Based on our results, we highlight that the continual harvesting of naturally-occurring E. erythropappus populations will not be sufficient to supply the market demand. Silviculture practices would likely serve as an economically viable and ecological sustainable alternative to harvesting natural populations. Keywords: candeia trees, random forests, habitat suitability.
650			_aCANDEIA
650			_aFLORESTA
650			_aHABITAT
773	0		_02929 _9347952 _dRio de Janeiro-RJ Instituto de Florestas - UFRRJ 1994 _o2025-0451 _tFloresta e Ambiente (Brazil) _x1415-0980 / ISSN 2179-8087 0nline _gv. 26(3) p. 1-13; (2019) _wBR2026000303
856			_uhttps://www.scielo.br/j/floram/a/WcnZB95WxGCRfcGH47jjDZb/?format=pdf&lang=en
942			_cANA
999			_c341277 _d341277