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008 260601b2020 bl.qr|pooa||| 00| 0 eng |
040 _aBR-BrBNA
_beng
072 _aK70
100 _aSantos, Eliana Elizabet dos
100 _aSena, Nathalie Cruz
100 _aBalestrin, Diego
100 _aFernandes Filho, Elpidio Inácio
100 _aCosta, Liovando Marciano da
100 _aZeferino, Leiliane Bozzi
245 _aPrediction of Burned Areas Using the Random Forest Classifier in the Minas Gerais State
500 _aPublicação on-line; 19 ref.; 1 table; 5 illus.; Summary (En)
520 _a Abstract Fire behavior prediction models can assist environmental agencies with fire prevention and control. This study aimed to adjust a fire prediction model for the state of Minas Gerais, Brazil. Using the R program and hotspots provided by the National Institute for Space Research (INPE) for 2010, prediction of the probability of fires through the Random Forest algorithm was conducted using the Bootstrapping method. The model generated a prediction map with global kappa value of 0.65. External validation was performed with hotspots in 2015. Results showed that 58% of the hotspots are in areas with ignition probability > 50%, being 24% of them in areas with 25-50% probability, and 17% in areas with < 25% probability. These results were considered satisfactory, demonstrating that the model is suitable for predicting fires. Keywords: fires; modeling; environmental monitoring.
650 _aINCÊNDIO FLORESTAL
650 _aPROFILAXIA
650 _aMEIO AMBIENTE
650 _aPROTEÇÃO FLORESTAL
773 0 _02929
_9347958
_dRio de Janeiro-RJ Instituto de Florestas - UFRRJ 1994
_o2025-0457
_tFloresta e Ambiente (Brazil)
_x1415-0980 / ISSN 2179-8087 0nline
_gv. 27(3) p. 1-7; (2020)
_wBR2026001341
856 _uhttps://www.scielo.br/j/floram/a/8wNh9YJtKttDHqTMWzwJFpg/?format=pdf&lang=en
942 _cANA
999 _c347966
_d347966